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Sunday 24 February 2013, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
87% 10% 3%
Home win
86.9%
Draw
10.0%
Away win
3.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 86.9% 1.15
Draw 10.0% 10.04
Aris Thessalonikis 3.2% 31.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.36
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.28
Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 2.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 3.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 3.5 54.5% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.7% 3.74
Under 4.5 73.3% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.1% 2.77
No 63.9% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 96.8% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / Aris Thessalonikis 90.0% 1.11
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 13.1% 7.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.1
4.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
14.0
6.6
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.0
6.6
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
10.4
4.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
6.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.