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Monday 17 September 2018, 19:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
72% 20% 8%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
7.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 71.9% 1.39
Draw 20.3% 4.92
Levadiakos 7.8% 12.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.73
Over 1.5 70.3% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.7% 3.36
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.7% 4.40
Under 3.5 77.3% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.9% 10.06
Under 4.5 90.1% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.4% 2.99
No 66.6% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 92.2% 1.08
Aris Thessalonikis / Levadiakos 79.7% 1.25
Draw / Levadiakos 28.1% 3.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
16.6
8.8
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.6
8.1
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
10.8
5.2
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.2
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.