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Sunday 25 November 2018, 19:30 Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium Full time
29% 30% 41%
Home win
29.0%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
41.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 29.0% 3.45
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Aris Thessalonikis 41.1% 2.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.01
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.42
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.16
No 53.6% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 58.9% 1.70
OFI / Aris Thessalonikis 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 71.0% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
12.2
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
1
9.7
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
5.3
6.7
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
1.8
2.3
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.