Saturday 5 May 2018, 19:00
AEL Arena (Larissa)
Full time
41%
36%
22%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
36.1%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Lamia | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 7.8% | 12.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.3% | 42.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.6% | 3.37 | — | — |
| No | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Larisa / Lamia | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw / Lamia | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
21.1
|
12.1
|
4.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.8
|
13.1
|
3.9
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Mar 2021
Lamia
2-1
Larisa
Feb 2021
Larisa
0-1
Lamia
Jul 2020
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Nov 2019
Larisa
0-3
Lamia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.