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Sunday 13 April 2014, 19:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
92% 6% 2%
Home win
92.1%
Draw
6.0%
Away win
2.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 92.1% 1.09
Draw 6.0% 16.78
Apollon Smirnis 2.0% 50.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.6% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.4% 71.38
Over 1.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 1.5 6.5% 15.29
Over 2.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 2.5 18.7% 5.36
Over 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 4.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 4.5 55.4% 1.80

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 98.0% 1.02
Olympiakos Piraeus / Apollon Smirnis 94.0% 1.06
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 8.0% 12.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.4
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
4.6
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
9.2
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
11.7
6.5
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
11.2
6.2
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
8.6
4.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.