Skip to content
Saturday 19 August 2017, 21:30 Georgios Karaiskakis Full time
88% 10% 3%
Home win
87.6%
Draw
9.8%
Away win
2.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 87.6% 1.14
Draw 9.8% 10.17
Larisa 2.6% 38.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.10
Over 1.5 83.7% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.3% 6.14
Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.1% 2.70
Over 3.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.7% 4.40
Under 4.5 77.3% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.6% 3.38
No 70.4% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.4% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / Larisa 90.2% 1.11
Draw / Larisa 12.4% 8.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
10.9
4.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
16.1
6.0
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
15.4
5.7
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
11.0
4.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
6.3
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.