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Sunday 19 November 2017, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium Full time
42% 32% 26%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
25.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 42.1% 2.37
Draw 32.3% 3.09
AEK Athens FC 25.5% 3.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.0% 6.68
Over 1.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.1% 2.44
Over 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.5% 7.42
Under 3.5 86.5% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.58
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 74.5% 1.34
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 67.7% 1.48
Draw / AEK Athens FC 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.0
10.8
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.3
14.0
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
2
9.1
7.5
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.