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Sunday 1 April 2018, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
54% 29% 17%
Home win
54.2%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 54.2% 1.85
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Panathinaikos 16.5% 6.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.1% 7.10
Over 1.5 60.4% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.6% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 2.5 67.3% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.90
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.62
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.79
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 83.5% 1.20
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 45.8% 2.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.1
7.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.7
12.4
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.7
8.1
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.8
3.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.