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Sunday 29 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
41% 30% 29%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
29.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 40.6% 2.46
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Levadiakos 29.3% 3.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.83
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.80
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 70.7% 1.41
Apollon Smirnis / Levadiakos 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Levadiakos 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
9.9
5.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
12.3
14.0
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
8.2
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.3
3.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.