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Saturday 21 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
63% 25% 13%
Home win
62.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
12.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 62.6% 1.60
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Apollon Smirnis 12.5% 7.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.12
Over 1.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.14
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.47
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.4% 2.67
No 62.6% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 87.5% 1.14
Atromitos / Apollon Smirnis 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 37.4% 2.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
5.6
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.6
11.0
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
8.7
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.9
4.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.