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Saturday 28 September 2013, 20:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
12% 22% 66%
Home win
12.1%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
66.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 12.1% 8.28
Draw 21.8% 4.60
Olympiakos Piraeus 66.2% 1.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.12
Over 1.5 74.9% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.1% 3.98
Over 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.6% 3.63
Under 3.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.0% 7.68
Under 4.5 87.0% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 33.8% 2.96
Panionios / Olympiakos Piraeus 78.2% 1.28
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 87.9% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
13.1
13.4
8.7
4.2
1.6
1
4.4
10.3
9.4
6.1
3.0
1.2
2
1.8
3.4
3.3
2.2
1.1
0.4
3
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.