Skip to content
Sunday 30 April 2017, 19:00 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
52% 29% 20%
Home win
51.8%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 51.8% 1.93
Draw 28.6% 3.49
Iraklis 19.6% 5.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.44
Over 1.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.8% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.84
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Asteras Tripolis / Iraklis 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Iraklis 48.2% 2.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.1
13.0
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.3
8.7
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.4
4.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.