Sunday 18 December 2016, 17:15
Kaftanzoglio Stadio
Full time
37%
34%
30%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
29.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 29.6% | 3.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis / Draw | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Iraklis / Asteras Tripolis | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.3
|
12.6
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
14.2
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2017
Asteras Tripolis
2-2
Iraklis
Apr 2016
Iraklis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Dec 2015
Asteras Tripolis
1-2
Iraklis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.