Skip to content
Saturday 10 September 2016, 18:15 Nea Smyrni Full time
41% 33% 26%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 41.3% 2.42
Draw 32.5% 3.07
Asteras Tripolis 26.2% 3.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.61
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.98
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.59
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 73.8% 1.36
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 67.5% 1.48
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 58.7% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
11.1
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
15.2
14.0
5.5
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
8.9
7.4
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.