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Wednesday 4 January 2017, 17:15 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
65% 24% 12%
Home win
64.6%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
11.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 64.6% 1.55
Draw 23.5% 4.25
Panetolikos 11.9% 8.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.24
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.57
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.9% 2.57
No 61.1% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 88.1% 1.13
AEK Athens FC / Panetolikos 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Panetolikos 35.4% 2.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
5.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
15.6
10.7
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
8.5
5.3
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
3.7
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.