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Sunday 3 February 2019, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
44% 33% 23%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
33.5%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 43.9% 2.28
Draw 33.5% 2.99
PAOK 22.6% 4.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.3% 5.79
Over 1.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 1.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 2.5 27.0% 3.70
Under 2.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.9% 9.17
Under 3.5 89.1% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.7% 27.34
Under 4.5 96.3% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.5% 2.90
No 65.5% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.4% 1.29
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 66.5% 1.50
Draw / PAOK 56.1% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.3
10.9
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
17.3
13.5
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.9
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.6
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.