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Wednesday 4 January 2017, 19:30 Georgios Karaiskakis Full time
83% 13% 4%
Home win
82.7%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
4.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 82.7% 1.21
Draw 12.9% 7.76
Asteras Tripolis 4.4% 22.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.78
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.55
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.79
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 95.6% 1.05
Olympiakos Piraeus / Asteras Tripolis 87.1% 1.15
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 17.3% 5.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.4
6.0
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
15.4
7.4
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.5
6.5
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
8.8
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.