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Sunday 15 April 2018, 17:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
54% 29% 17%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 53.6% 1.87
Draw 29.1% 3.44
Atromitos 17.3% 5.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.48
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.44
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.98
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.6% 2.66
No 62.4% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.7% 1.21
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Atromitos 46.4% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
7.8
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.9
12.6
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.3
8.3
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.7
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.0
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.