Saturday 5 November 2016, 16:30
Volksparkstadion
Full time
12%
22%
66%
Home win
12.1%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
65.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 12.1% | 8.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV / Draw | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV / Borussia Dortmund | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
13.9
|
13.7
|
8.6
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.4
|
9.3
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
3.4
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3-2
Hamburger SV
Nov 2025
Hamburger SV
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Feb 2018
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Hamburger SV
Sep 2017
Hamburger SV
0-3
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2017
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Hamburger SV
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.