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Saturday 22 October 2016, 16:30 Audi Sportpark Full time
15% 21% 64%
Home win
15.1%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
63.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 15.1% 6.62
Draw 21.2% 4.72
Borussia Dortmund 63.7% 1.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.37
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.25
Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.31
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw 36.3% 2.76
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Borussia Dortmund 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 84.9% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
9.6
10.7
7.5
3.9
1.6
1
3.9
10.0
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.1
4.4
4.6
3.2
1.7
0.7
3
0.6
1.4
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.