Saturday 17 September 2016, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
34%
51%
15%
Home win
33.9%
Draw
51.1%
Away win
15.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 5.4% | 18.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.1% | 92.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.2% | 568.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.0% | 9.06 | — | — |
| No | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Bayern München / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
43.5
|
12.0
|
1.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
23.5
|
7.3
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.