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Saturday 10 September 2016, 16:30 Audi Sportpark Full time
28% 60% 12%
Home win
28.0%
Draw
59.8%
Away win
12.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 28.0% 3.57
Draw 59.8% 1.67
Hertha Berlin 12.2% 8.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 0.5 55.1% 1.81
Over 1.5 12.5% 8.02
Under 1.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 2.5 2.3% 43.18
Under 2.5 97.7% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.3% 296.74
Under 3.5 99.7% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 2,500.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 6.2% 16.12
No 93.8% 1.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw 87.8% 1.14
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Hertha Berlin 40.2% 2.49
Draw / Hertha Berlin 72.0% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
55.1
10.6
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
21.8
4.6
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
4.5
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.