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Saturday 4 February 2017, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
62% 23% 14%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
14.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 62.4% 1.60
Draw 23.3% 4.29
FC Ingolstadt 04 14.2% 7.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.35
Over 1.5 73.8% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.2% 3.81
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.81
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.22
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 85.8% 1.17
Hertha Berlin / FC Ingolstadt 04 76.7% 1.30
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 37.6% 2.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
5.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.1
11.0
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.5
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.7
5.8
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.5
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.