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Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:00 Audi Sportpark Full time
40% 27% 33%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 40.0% 2.50
Draw 27.4% 3.64
SC Freiburg 32.5% 3.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.89
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.6% 3.62
Under 3.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.65
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.6% 1.83
No 45.4% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw 67.5% 1.48
FC Ingolstadt 04 / SC Freiburg 72.6% 1.38
Draw / SC Freiburg 60.0% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
8.0
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
9.1
13.1
7.7
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
7.0
8.7
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.3
4.1
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.2
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.