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Saturday 10 December 2016, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
55% 23% 21%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
21.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 55.3% 1.81
Draw 23.3% 4.30
SV Darmstadt 98 21.4% 4.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.91
Over 1.5 81.6% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.4% 5.44
Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.9% 2.44
Over 3.5 36.7% 2.73
Under 3.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.5% 5.12
Under 4.5 80.5% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 78.6% 1.27
SC Freiburg / SV Darmstadt 98 76.7% 1.30
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
4.7
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
8.4
10.8
5.8
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.9
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
5.6
6.3
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.7
3.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.