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Friday 25 November 2016, 21:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
25% 26% 49%
Home win
24.9%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
49.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 24.9% 4.01
Draw 25.8% 3.87
RB Leipzig 49.2% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.25
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.34
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.1% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 50.8% 1.97
SC Freiburg / RB Leipzig 74.2% 1.35
Draw / RB Leipzig 75.1% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
9.7
8.6
4.7
2.0
0.6
1
6.3
12.3
9.6
5.3
2.2
0.7
2
3.9
6.4
5.3
2.9
1.2
0.4
3
1.4
2.4
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.