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Saturday 22 October 2016, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
53% 28% 19%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 53.0% 1.89
Draw 27.8% 3.60
FC Augsburg 19.2% 5.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.08
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.12
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.39
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 80.8% 1.24
SC Freiburg / FC Augsburg 72.2% 1.39
Draw / FC Augsburg 47.0% 2.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
7.4
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
12.8
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.4
9.0
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.6
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.