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Saturday 15 October 2016, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
HT 1–0
SC Freiburg
49% 24% 27%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
27.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 48.5% 2.06 — —
Draw 24.0% 4.17 — —
SC Freiburg 27.5% 3.64 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 4.8% 21.03 — —
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20 — —
Under 1.5 16.7% 5.98 — —
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61 — —
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54 — —
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.62 — —
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
No 37.2% 2.69 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 72.5% 1.38 — —
1899 Hoffenheim / SC Freiburg 76.0% 1.32 — —
Draw / SC Freiburg 51.5% 1.94 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
5.0
3.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
7.0
10.9
6.9
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.0
9.4
6.3
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
4.3
5.8
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
2.0
2.7
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

1899 Hoffenheim
D D D W W
SC Freiburg
W L W L W

Head to head

Feb 2026 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 SC Freiburg Sep 2025 SC Freiburg 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim Apr 2025 SC Freiburg 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim Dec 2024 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 SC Freiburg Jan 2024 SC Freiburg 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim Aug 2023 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 SC Freiburg

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.