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Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
33% 31% 36%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
35.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 32.9% 3.04
Draw 31.4% 3.19
FC Schalke 04 35.8% 2.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.83
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 2.5 64.3% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.6% 6.03
Under 3.5 83.4% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.50
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 64.2% 1.56
1899 Hoffenheim / FC Schalke 04 68.6% 1.46
Draw / FC Schalke 04 67.1% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
12.2
7.1
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.5
14.3
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.4
7.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.2
2.4
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.