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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:00 VELTINS-Arena Full time
29% 53% 19%
Home win
28.6%
Draw
52.7%
Away win
18.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 28.6% 3.49
Draw 52.7% 1.90
1. FC Köln 18.7% 5.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 0.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 1.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 1.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 2.5 4.9% 20.36
Under 2.5 95.1% 1.05
Over 3.5 1.0% 104.93
Under 3.5 99.0% 1.01
Over 4.5 0.2% 666.67
Under 4.5 99.9% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 11.2% 8.90
No 88.8% 1.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 / Draw 81.3% 1.23
FC Schalke 04 / 1. FC Köln 47.3% 2.11
Draw / 1. FC Köln 71.4% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
44.8
14.5
2.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
20.7
7.5
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
5.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Schalke 04 goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.