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Saturday 10 September 2016, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
23% 64% 13%
Home win
22.8%
Draw
64.0%
Away win
13.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 22.8% 4.39
Draw 64.0% 1.56
1. FC Köln 13.2% 7.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 0.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 1.5 9.7% 10.30
Under 1.5 90.3% 1.11
Over 2.5 1.6% 64.27
Under 2.5 98.4% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.2% 512.82
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 5,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 5.1% 19.60
No 94.9% 1.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 86.8% 1.15
VfL Wolfsburg / 1. FC Köln 36.0% 2.78
Draw / 1. FC Köln 77.2% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
60.0
11.6
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
18.8
4.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.