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Sunday 18 September 2016, 18:30 Olympiastadion Full time
55% 17% 27%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
27.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 55.4% 1.80
Draw 17.3% 5.79
FC Schalke 04 27.3% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.3% 1.01
Under 0.5 0.7% 134.41
Over 1.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 1.5 3.1% 32.25
Over 2.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 2.5 10.6% 9.43
Over 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Under 3.5 23.3% 4.29
Over 4.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 4.5 40.0% 2.50

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 84.8% 1.18
No 15.2% 6.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 72.7% 1.38
Hertha Berlin / FC Schalke 04 82.7% 1.21
Draw / FC Schalke 04 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.7
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
1
1.4
3.8
3.9
2.9
1.6
0.7
2
2.5
5.4
5.9
4.3
2.4
1.0
3
2.5
5.5
6.0
4.4
2.4
1.1
4
1.9
4.2
4.6
3.3
1.8
0.8
5
1.2
2.5
2.8
2.0
1.1
0.5
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.