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Friday 16 September 2016, 21:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
1. FC Köln
3–0
HT 3–0
SC Freiburg
35% 50% 15%
Home win
35.0%
Draw
49.6%
Away win
15.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 35.0% 2.86 — —
Draw 49.6% 2.02 — —
SC Freiburg 15.4% 6.48 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Under 0.5 41.5% 2.41 — —
Over 1.5 22.8% 4.38 — —
Under 1.5 77.2% 1.30 — —
Over 2.5 6.1% 16.31 — —
Under 2.5 93.9% 1.07 — —
Over 3.5 1.3% 76.92 — —
Under 3.5 98.7% 1.01 — —
Over 4.5 0.2% 446.43 — —
Under 4.5 99.8% 1.00 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 12.1% 8.28 — —
No 87.9% 1.14 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 84.6% 1.18 — —
1. FC Köln / SC Freiburg 50.4% 1.98 — —
Draw / SC Freiburg 65.0% 1.54 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
41.5
12.0
1.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
23.6
7.8
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
7.1
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

1. FC Köln
W D
SC Freiburg
L W

Head to head

Jan 2026 SC Freiburg 2-1 1. FC Köln Aug 2025 1. FC Köln 4-1 SC Freiburg May 2024 1. FC Köln 0-0 SC Freiburg Dec 2023 SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln Apr 2023 1. FC Köln 0-1 SC Freiburg Nov 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.