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Tuesday 20 September 2016, 21:00 Stadion am Böllenfalltor Full time
97% 2% 1%
Home win
96.8%
Draw
2.0%
Away win
1.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SV Darmstadt 98 96.8% 1.03
Draw 2.0% 50.08
1899 Hoffenheim 1.2% 80.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 4,000.00
Over 1.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.1% 719.42
Over 2.5 99.3% 1.01
Under 2.5 0.7% 133.87
Over 3.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 3.5 2.5% 39.48
Over 4.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 4.5 6.5% 15.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 78.3% 1.28
No 21.7% 4.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SV Darmstadt 98 / Draw 98.8% 1.01
SV Darmstadt 98 / 1899 Hoffenheim 98.0% 1.02
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 3.2% 30.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
3
1.0
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
1.9
2.9
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
2.8
4.3
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
Rows: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.