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Saturday 17 September 2016, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
50% 33% 17%
Home win
49.7%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
17.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 49.7% 2.01
Draw 33.2% 3.01
SV Darmstadt 98 17.1% 5.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.1% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.9% 5.29
Over 1.5 51.5% 1.94
Under 1.5 48.5% 2.06
Over 2.5 24.4% 4.10
Under 2.5 75.6% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.4% 10.66
Under 3.5 90.6% 1.10
Over 4.5 3.0% 33.48
Under 4.5 97.0% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.8% 3.36
No 70.2% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 82.9% 1.21
Borussia Dortmund / SV Darmstadt 98 66.8% 1.50
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 50.3% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.9
9.4
2.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
20.2
12.3
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
12.0
6.7
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
4.6
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.