Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 10 September 2016, 19:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
RB Leipzig
1–0
HT 0–0
Borussia Dortmund
92% 6% 2%
Home win
92.0%
Draw
6.3%
Away win
1.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 92.0% 1.09 — —
Draw 6.3% 15.76 — —
Borussia Dortmund 1.7% 59.84 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02 — —
Under 0.5 2.1% 46.86 — —
Over 1.5 90.5% 1.11 — —
Under 1.5 9.5% 10.51 — —
Over 2.5 75.1% 1.33 — —
Under 2.5 24.9% 4.02 — —
Over 3.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Under 3.5 44.7% 2.23 — —
Over 4.5 35.7% 2.80 — —
Under 4.5 64.3% 1.56 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.8% 3.05 — —
No 67.2% 1.49 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 98.3% 1.02 — —
RB Leipzig / Borussia Dortmund 93.7% 1.07 — —
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 8.0% 12.48 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
6.7
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
12.2
5.0
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
14.3
5.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
12.6
5.2
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
8.9
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

RB Leipzig
D
Borussia Dortmund
W

Head to head

Feb 2026 RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund Oct 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1-1 RB Leipzig Mar 2025 RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Nov 2024 Borussia Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig Apr 2024 RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund Dec 2023 Borussia Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.