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Friday 23 September 2016, 21:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
HT 1–0
SC Freiburg
21% 40% 39%
Home win
21.0%
Draw
40.0%
Away win
38.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 21.0% 4.75 — —
Draw 40.0% 2.50 — —
SC Freiburg 38.9% 2.57 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 73.1% 1.37 — —
Under 0.5 26.9% 3.71 — —
Over 1.5 39.3% 2.55 — —
Under 1.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Over 2.5 15.1% 6.61 — —
Under 2.5 84.9% 1.18 — —
Over 3.5 4.7% 21.35 — —
Under 3.5 95.3% 1.05 — —
Over 4.5 1.2% 84.03 — —
Under 4.5 98.8% 1.01 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 23.3% 4.29 — —
No 76.7% 1.30 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 61.1% 1.64 — —
Borussia Dortmund / SC Freiburg 60.0% 1.67 — —
Draw / SC Freiburg 79.0% 1.27 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
26.9
20.8
8.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
1
13.0
11.8
4.6
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
3.6
2.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
W L W W
SC Freiburg
L W L W

Head to head

Apr 2026 Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg Dec 2025 SC Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Apr 2025 SC Freiburg 1-4 Borussia Dortmund Nov 2024 Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg Feb 2024 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Freiburg Sep 2023 SC Freiburg 2-4 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.