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Tuesday 20 September 2016, 21:00 Volkswagen Arena Full time
VfL Wolfsburg
1–5
HT 0–2
Borussia Dortmund
81% 11% 8%
Home win
81.1%
Draw
10.6%
Away win
8.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 81.1% 1.23 — —
Draw 10.6% 9.44 — —
Borussia Dortmund 8.3% 12.06 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.2% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 0.8% 132.10 — —
Over 1.5 96.6% 1.04 — —
Under 1.5 3.4% 29.50 — —
Over 2.5 88.7% 1.13 — —
Under 2.5 11.3% 8.88 — —
Over 3.5 75.5% 1.32 — —
Under 3.5 24.5% 4.08 — —
Over 4.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Under 4.5 41.5% 2.41 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 72.2% 1.39 — —
No 27.8% 3.59 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 91.7% 1.09 — —
VfL Wolfsburg / Borussia Dortmund 89.4% 1.12 — —
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 18.9% 5.29 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.8
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
1
2.0
3.1
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
2
4.2
5.6
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.1
3
5.4
7.2
4.8
2.1
0.7
0.2
4
5.1
6.9
4.6
2.0
0.7
0.2
5
3.9
5.2
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

VfL Wolfsburg
W D D
Borussia Dortmund
W L W

Head to head

Feb 2026 VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Sep 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg May 2025 Borussia Dortmund 4-0 VfL Wolfsburg Dec 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund Feb 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Sep 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.