Saturday 1 October 2016, 16:30
Audi Sportpark
Full time
24%
24%
51%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
51.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 / 1899 Hoffenheim | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
8.1
|
8.0
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.2
|
9.7
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.4
|
5.9
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.