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Saturday 4 March 2017, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
70% 20% 10%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
10.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 70.1% 1.43
Draw 19.9% 5.04
FC Ingolstadt 04 10.1% 9.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.46
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.1% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.7% 3.37
Under 3.5 70.3% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.91
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 89.9% 1.11
1899 Hoffenheim / FC Ingolstadt 04 80.2% 1.25
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 29.9% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
3.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
12.8
9.4
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
9.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.7
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.