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Saturday 28 January 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
54% 25% 22%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
21.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 53.6% 1.86
Draw 24.8% 4.02
1899 Hoffenheim 21.5% 4.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.68
Over 1.5 77.4% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.6% 4.42
Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Over 3.5 30.6% 3.27
Under 3.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.1% 6.64
Under 4.5 84.9% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 78.5% 1.27
RB Leipzig / 1899 Hoffenheim 75.2% 1.33
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 46.4% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
5.7
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
10.1
11.8
5.8
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.8
5.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
5.5
5.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.4
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.