Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:00
Allianz Arena
Full time
54%
26%
20%
Home win
54.0%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bayern München / RB Leipzig | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / RB Leipzig | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
12.3
|
5.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.6
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-5
Bayern München
Aug 2025
Bayern München
6-0
RB Leipzig
May 2025
RB Leipzig
3-3
Bayern München
Dec 2024
Bayern München
5-1
RB Leipzig
Feb 2024
Bayern München
2-1
RB Leipzig
Sep 2023
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.