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Saturday 26 November 2016, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
75% 16% 9%
Home win
74.9%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 74.9% 1.34
Draw 15.8% 6.32
Bayer Leverkusen 9.3% 10.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.85
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.30
Over 2.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 2.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 3.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 3.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 4.5 73.5% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89
No 47.0% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 90.7% 1.10
Bayern München / Bayer Leverkusen 84.2% 1.19
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 25.1% 3.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
2.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.9
7.4
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
9.1
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.4
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.2
5.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.2
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.