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Saturday 29 October 2016, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
36% 32% 32%
Home win
35.8%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 35.8% 2.79
Draw 32.4% 3.09
Bayer Leverkusen 31.8% 3.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.03
Over 1.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 2.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.92
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.70
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.44
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 68.2% 1.47
VfL Wolfsburg / Bayer Leverkusen 67.6% 1.48
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 64.2% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
12.1
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
13.2
14.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
7.3
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.5
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.