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Saturday 24 September 2016, 19:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
15% 38% 47%
Home win
15.0%
Draw
38.0%
Away win
47.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 15.0% 6.68
Draw 38.0% 2.63
VfL Wolfsburg 47.0% 2.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 0.5 26.4% 3.79
Over 1.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 1.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 2.5 15.6% 6.42
Under 2.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 3.5 4.9% 20.50
Under 3.5 95.1% 1.05
Over 4.5 1.3% 79.68
Under 4.5 98.7% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 21.2% 4.73
No 78.8% 1.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 53.0% 1.89
Werder Bremen / VfL Wolfsburg 62.0% 1.61
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 85.0% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
26.4
23.8
11.5
3.6
0.9
0.2
1
10.0
10.6
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
2.2
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.