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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:00 Weser-Stadion Full time
Werder Bremen
1–2
HT 1–0
FSV Mainz 05
17% 16% 67%
Home win
17.2%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
66.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 17.2% 5.81 — —
Draw 16.2% 6.16 — —
FSV Mainz 05 66.5% 1.50 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.7% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 1.3% 76.34 — —
Over 1.5 94.6% 1.06 — —
Under 1.5 5.4% 18.48 — —
Over 2.5 83.6% 1.20 — —
Under 2.5 16.4% 6.09 — —
Over 3.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Under 3.5 32.8% 3.05 — —
Over 4.5 48.4% 2.07 — —
Under 4.5 51.6% 1.94 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.6% 1.32 — —
No 24.4% 4.10 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 33.5% 2.99 — —
Werder Bremen / FSV Mainz 05 83.8% 1.19 — —
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 82.8% 1.21 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.3
2.8
4.6
4.7
3.5
2.1
1
1.3
5.1
7.3
7.3
5.5
3.3
2
1.3
3.8
5.7
5.7
4.3
2.6
3
0.7
2.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
1.4
4
0.3
0.8
1.2
1.2
0.9
0.5
5
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Werder Bremen
L L L
FSV Mainz 05
L D W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05 Nov 2025 FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen Jan 2025 Werder Bremen 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 Sep 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen Feb 2024 FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Werder Bremen Sep 2023 Werder Bremen 4-0 FSV Mainz 05

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.