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Saturday 17 September 2016, 19:30 Borussia-Park Full time
57% 24% 19%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
19.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 56.8% 1.76
Draw 24.0% 4.16
Werder Bremen 19.1% 5.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.83
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45
Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 3.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.58
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 80.9% 1.24
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Werder Bremen 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Werder Bremen 43.2% 2.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
5.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.5
11.5
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.9
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.2
6.0
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.8
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.