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Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
80% 15% 5%
Home win
80.4%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
4.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 80.4% 1.24
Draw 14.9% 6.70
FC Augsburg 4.7% 21.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 15.01
Over 1.5 76.7% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.3% 4.29
Over 2.5 52.2% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.33
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.80
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.4% 3.19
No 68.6% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 95.3% 1.05
Werder Bremen / FC Augsburg 85.1% 1.18
Draw / FC Augsburg 19.6% 5.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.4
6.6
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.3
7.3
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.5
5.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.9
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.7
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.