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Sunday 16 October 2016, 18:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
25% 32% 43%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
43.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 24.6% 4.07
Draw 32.0% 3.12
RB Leipzig 43.4% 2.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.7% 6.79
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.46
Over 2.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.7% 7.28
Under 3.5 86.3% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 20.02
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.8% 2.58
No 61.2% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 56.6% 1.77
VfL Wolfsburg / RB Leipzig 68.0% 1.47
Draw / RB Leipzig 75.4% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.7
15.5
9.5
3.7
1.1
0.2
1
10.4
13.9
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
4.5
5.3
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.2
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.