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Saturday 17 September 2016, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
Hamburger SV
0–4
HT 0–0
RB Leipzig
44% 30% 26%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
25.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 44.1% 2.27 — —
Draw 30.3% 3.30 — —
RB Leipzig 25.6% 3.91 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14 — —
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.16 — —
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55 — —
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.81 — —
Over 2.5 36.8% 2.72 — —
Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.76 — —
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21 — —
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.55 — —
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.31 — —
No 56.6% 1.77 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 74.4% 1.34 — —
Hamburger SV / RB Leipzig 69.7% 1.44 — —
Draw / RB Leipzig 55.9% 1.79 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
9.5
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.8
13.8
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
8.3
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.9
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hamburger SV
D L
RB Leipzig
D W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Hamburger SV 1-2 RB Leipzig Oct 2025 RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburger SV Jan 2018 RB Leipzig 1-1 Hamburger SV Sep 2017 Hamburger SV 0-2 RB Leipzig Feb 2017 RB Leipzig 0-3 Hamburger SV

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.